The second Grand Slam of the year started at the weekend in Paris and it promises to be (hopefully) more intriguing than in recent memory. King of the Roland Garros, Rafael Nadal, is still feeling his way back from injury and has not been as invincible as he once was on the red dirt. World number one Novak Djokovic will be snapping at his heels like one of those yappy chiens posh French girls carry around in their Louise de Vittons handbags if the Spaniard is not as his absolute best. You also can’t discount the evergreen Roger Federer, a former winner of this tournament back in 2009. In the absence of Andy Murray, Jo-Wilfred Tsonga may fancy his chances of a run to the latter stages and David Ferrer will be another hoping to feature in the second week. Here’s a rundown of the top contenders:
Rafael Nadal (Spain)
World Ranking: 4
The ‘Muscles from Mallorca’ is bidding for his 8th title on the Parisian clay and who would bet against him? He has only lost once at Roland Garros, to an inspired Robin Soderling in 2009, and it is going to take a similarly superhuman effort to stop this clay-court juggernaut from adding to his already bulging trophy cabinet. He did lose his Monte-Carlo title to Djokovic last month which will rankle with him and it remains to be seen whether his body can handle the rigours of a Grand Slam schedule after his injury problems. If it can, expect to see Nadal’s fangs clenched around the famous trophy once again.
Novak Djokovic (Serbia)
World Ranking: 1
Djokovic is the man most likely to stop Nadal. The Serbian doesn’t quite have the power of the Spaniard at the back of the court but if Nadal’s game is not bang on, you can bet your bottom Euro that Djokovic will be there to exploit any weakness. He has supreme fitness so if the two do meet and it goes to 5 sets, he knows he has the stamina. He has already beaten the Mallorcan on the clay this season but he has never won at Roland Garros and he has put in some rather tame performances in his previous finals defeats to Nadal. He will be desperate to rectify this, and 2013 could be his best chance.
Roger Federer (Switzerland)
World Ranking: 3
Federer has had a quiet season so far, punctuated by an extended break in March to spend time with his family. Consequently he is as fresh as a daisy and should have no trouble reaching the latter rounds. He does tend to struggle against clay-court specialists of which there are a few in this year’s tournament. His experience should see him through to at least the quarters but he doesn’t quite have the speed of old to last the pace in the longer rallies against the elite players. The title will be beyond him but he makes tennis look like a piece of art so just sit back and revel in watching one of the game’s greats whilst you still can.
David Ferrer (Spain)
World Ranking: 5
The diminutive Spaniard reached the semis here last year, beating a certain Andy Murray in the process and a repeat performance is not out of the question (apart from the Murray bit). He is not the most technically gifted player on tour but he has a relentless playing style, fighting tooth and nail for every point. Ally that with a Mo Farah-esque stamina and you have a pretty handy clay-courter. The problem with Ferrer is that he has a worryingly Henman-like record in grand-slams. Semi-finals seem to be his maximum. He is a very good player and he has won some big tournaments, just not the tournaments that really matter. Credit to him, he has squeezed every last drop out of his potential but that potential is not good enough to beat the big boys.
Nicolas Almagro (Spain)
World Ranking: 13
This preview may seem like a bit of Spanish love-in, but they do have some quality players on the tour at the moment and Almagro is certainly one of those. If God wanted to create the complete clay court player (and he’d somehow forgotten about Rafa Nadal) he could do worse than Nicolas Almagro. The Spaniard knows the clay like Tim Henman knows Grand Slam semi-final defeats. He has won some big tournaments in his career on the red stuff (all of his ATP finals appearances have been on clay) but the big one still eludes him. He played one the best sets of tennis I have ever seen against Nadal in last year’s quarter-final, yet still lost on a tie-break (and lost the match in straight sets). Rather like Ferrer, he doesn’t seem to win the matches that really matter against the top players. That won’t change this year.
Richard Gasquet (France)
World Ranking: 9
The Frenchman has absolutely sod-all chance of winning in Paris but I have fallen slightly in love with him, or more specifically – his backhand. In an era when the single-handed backhand is about as common as the sabre-toothed tiger (I was watching Marion Bartoli the other day and she has a double-handed forehand), the sight of Gasquet’s free-flowing caress of the tennis ball could make butter spontaneously combust. He wields his racket like Monet with a paintbrush. He is the latest in a rather stereotypical line of French flair players, inheriting the crown of Fabrice Santoro, Sebstian Grosjean et al. Go to youtube and watch Gasquet’s defeat to Andy Murray at the French in 2010 (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hGWkwaMWaDk). Never has a loss looked so beautiful, so perfect. Even your girlfriend would struggle to provide you with 6 minutes and 17 seconds of comparable enjoyment. Gasquet is not without controversy. In 2009 He failed a drugs test and got caught with a small amount of cocaine in his system in Miami. Astonishingly, the ATP accepted his explanation which consisted of snogging a girl in a nightclub who had mysteriously just taken cocaine and transferred it into him. The ATP must still think Father Christmas still exists. Anyway, even though Gasquet won’t win the tournament, watch him whilst you have the chance. You won’t regret it.
So this year’s French Open is slightly more ‘open’ than usual, in that more than one person has a realistic chance of winning. I can’t see past Nadal or Djokovic for the title and I wouldn’t be surprised if they were the finalists too. Obviously they will deny the final the public really want – Gasquet vs Federer. Keep believing. It could happen.